I WAS at
Dhaka one day after the carnage at Guwahati. The
Bangladesh press had front-paged the tragedy and
had roundly criticized the perpetrators. In a
representative comment, the leading paper, The
Daily Star, had said: “Such an act of cowardice
snuffing out and maiming scores of innocent
people in thickly crowded public places is
utterly despicable. We have no words strong
enough to condemn it.”
But people were horrified over the impression
that the blasts were the handiwork of
Bangladesh. They attributed the remark to the
“hostility” of Indians towards the Bangladeshis.
They conceded that relations between the two
countries had never been as low as they were
today. Yet they did not imagine India would say
against Bangladesh what it said about Pakistan
till yesterday.
Chief Adviser of the caretaker government,
Fakhruddin Ahmed, said in an interview that he
would not rule out some Bangladehis crossing
into India. But to allege that there were
training camps of terrorists or that the
authorities connived at such activities was
“very unfair to us and I deny all these charges
categorically.” He said his government had been
able to stop terrorism within its own country by
taking appropriate measures. It was time that
India realized that it had home grown
terrorists.
Howsoever assuring the statements are from
Dhaka, they have not removed the general
impression in India that the Bangladeshis are
behind the blasts. The suspicion is primarily on
the Bangladeshis living in the country, said to
be three million. Bangladesh is blamed because
of the growing belief that it is a country where
fundamentalism is spreading through mosques and
madrassas coming up in the countryside.
I do not rule out some intelligence agencies at
Dhaka conniving at the activities of extremists.
There is possibly a group which is inimical to
India. But that has been there whatever the
colour of the government. Yet we would delude
ourselves if we were to believe that the ULFA
was returning to the path of peace. It is an
outfit which is mixed up with every type of
terrorism in the northeast. ULFA chairman Paresh
Baruah lives at Dhaka. Some other important ULFA
leaders have also taken refuge in the city. The
government has arrested only Anup Chatia, a top
ULFA leader. I have found no satisfactory reply
to this.
My queries lead me to infer that the Guwahati
incident is linked to the jihadis who have
returned from Afghanistan after taking part in
the “holy war” against American and European
forces. But the motive of the jihadis is said to
be money and the Pakistan’s ISI is said to be
mixed up with their doings. Many intellectuals,
journalists and some others I have met presented
the same scenario. They even regret that the ISI
is operating in a big way in the area. But they
are so distant from India, as one editor puts
it—“we are not even listening to each other
because what we say sounds repetitive”—that
joint action with New Delhi has never crossed
their mind.
Yet like Pakistan, Bangladesh is resentful of
India blaming outfits in their country without
giving any evidence. Chief Adviser Ahmed wanted
“some proof.” In fact, the best of our claims
about cross-border terrorism or the involvement
of extremists in Bangladesh have come to be
doubted because we have not been able to produce
even a shred of evidence in support of our case.
Even within India, the version of police is
questioned more and more because what is told is
full of holes.
I am not sure whether Bangladesh is going the
fundamentalist way. During four days of my stay
at Dhaka, I did not find any woman in burqua,
nor any slogan poster or banner invoking Islam
or Allah. Music to which the extremists object
is the breath of life in Dhaka. Painting and
fashion shows are galore. The hanging of Bangla
Bhai and his eight fundamentalist colleagues did
not evoke any protest. Even the Jamiat-e-Islamia
has, for the first time, acknowledged the
contribution of liberation struggle to the
independence of Bangladesh.
The real danger to Bangladesh is the lack of
alternative to Awami Lealgue headed by Hasina
and Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) headed by
Khalida Zia. The Awami League looks like
sweeping the polls scheduled to be held on
December 18. At the same time, the common belief
is that the BNP in the opposition will bring
back on-the-street politics and hartals. If that
happens, Bangladesh will be back to square one.
The good work done by the caretaker government
will go awry and the fight between the two
ladies will begin in right earnest.
I concede that the army did try to overhaul the
system while remaining in the background. It may
have wished a political alternative. But the two
ladies have been adamant on staying in politics,
although both have been hurt by the exposures of
corruption at high places.
The army is rightly withdrawing and letting
people to decide. The problem, which Bangladesh
has come to realise, like Pakistan, is that
there is no halfway house. A country is either
fully democratic or fully autocratic. The army
intervening or pressuring the government from
behind the scenes unhinges a democratic
structure. People may be undisciplined or
chaotic in their behaviour, but there is no
alternative to the rule of people. Despite inept
governance and trivialized politics, India has
been able to establish democracy because people
are inured to the system.
I see in Bangladesh a fierce desire to return to
democracy. If elections had not been announced,
people would have hit the streets in protest.
But this is no answer to the country’s problems.
The real test will come when one political party
comes to power and the other has to wait till
the next election.
Probably, both Awami League and BNP have learnt
their lesson. Probably, both have come to
realise that there is a Lakshman rehka beyond
which no individual or party should stretch a
democratic system. My feeling is that all the
countries in South Asia, including India, have
to ponder over the limit to which political
parties can go to articulate their demand.
Rulers do not suffer, the common man does.
Religion is a diversion or a matter of personal
faith. But it cannot occupy the centre stage.
The political parties are not yet willing to
face the simple truth: a distorted rule of law
mars democracy not makes it.
Bangladesh has come full circle. Will the army
ultimately walk in, I asked the Chief Adviser
Ahmed. He said categorically: No. The
institutions which have been built in the last
two years, he said, will sustain the democratic
structure. But the political parties will have
to respect them.