INDIA has known
very little about President Asif Ali Zardari.
His best credentials have been that he is
husband of the late Benazir Bhutto. Even when he
was elected Pakistan’s President, Zardari was a
distant figure, un-profiled and undefined. Since
the time he has been at the helm of affairs,
Indians have wanted to know where he stood on
many questions which have beleaguered the two
countries since independence. A few days ago he
provided some answers.
This was at a video-conference, part of
Leadership Summit hosted by local English daily.
Zardari’s appearance may not have been for more
than half an hour in the two-day-long conference
but he stole the show. There was a spontaneous
applause for him. He is now a much talked about
person in the country. Suddenly, he has emerged
a familiar and friendly person who wants to do
business with India.
What is most striking in Zardari’s statement is
his statement that his country would not be the
first to use nuclear weapons in a conflict with
India. This categorical assurance is a departure
from the Pakistani stand which is short in
conventional weapons and long in nuclear
devices. I recall when I interviewed Dr A.Q.
Khan, father of Pakistan’s bomb, he said that
they would use the bomb in a war against India
from the beginning because Pakistan could not
match India’s prowess in conventional arms.
Zardari’s observation has embarrassed the
mindset bureaucracy in Pakistan. They have said
‘no’ whenever New Delhi has sought in the past
an agreement on the no-first use. Their
rationalization is that the nuclear weapons give
Pakistan parity with India. They have reacted
unfavourably, calling Zardari’s observation as
an “off-the-cuff remark” or “ill-informed
statement.” However, Foreign Offices on both
sides are quiet although the statement has
created confusion.
Whatever the stand the Pakistan establishment
may take, Zardari looks like sticking to what he
has said. There is no contradiction from his
side. In days to come, New Delhi would seek to
pursue Zardari’s observations since there is a
doubt that he may not be able to make the
promise good. As has been seen in the past, the
army and the mindset bureaucrats have the last
word on such matters in Pakistan.
Asked if his country would adopt the no-first
use as a policy, Zardari said he would work with
his parliament towards that. But then he turned
back to ask whether Indian parliament would do
the same. It was a legitimate question since
Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee, after the
Pokharan blast, said voluntarily that India
would not use the bomb first. There is no reason
to believe that our parliament would not convert
Vajpayee’s promise into a pact. However,
politics in India has become so divisive and
fragmented that what is good for the gander may
not be good for the geese.
Zardari’s other observations also suggested that
he was trying to break the shackles which have
restricted normalization. He did not seem to be
a prisoner of the past. Zardari’s remark on
elections in Kashmir was at variance with those
of Pakistan’s Foreign Office. He said that his
government did not interfere in the internal
matters of other states. He was replying to a
question whether India could expect peaceful
elections in Jammu and Kashmir. But his Foreign
Office had said earlier that polls in Jammu and
Kashmir did not reflect “authentic expression of
the real aspirations of the people of the
state.” The reaction by our Foreign Office
objecting to these remarks is understandable.
But to say “it is in Pakistan’s own interest to
play a role in the region” smacks of superiority
complex. We have to understand that Kashmir is
under the skin of most Pakistanis. We can
disagree with them but cannot belittle their
feelings.
In fact, Islamabad has always brought in Kashmir
whenever there is any attempt by New Delhi to
have agreement on trade or travel with Pakistan.
Former Prime Minister Inder Gujral told me that
he and the then Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif,
had finalized at Male a barter deal of goods
till the Pakistan commerce secretary intervened
to say: Mian Sahib, what about Kashmir? The deal
never went through.
Zardari is right when he says that the region
belonged “to the Kashmiri people.” But the
Kashmiris too should feel that they belonged to
“the region” which has to take certain realities
into account. For example, if Jammu and Kashmir
were to stay as one, the “aspirations” of people
in the Valley that have acquired religious edge
cannot be compatible with the integrity of the
state. True, the Kashmiriyat is secular in
content but over the years it has been
disfigured by separatists. The redeeming factor
is that despite the boycott call given by them,
roughly 65 people have cast their vote.
Kashmir is getting more and more entangled as
the days go by. Its solution would neither be
easy nor quick. Should both countries suspend
all dealings of trade and business till there is
a solution acceptable to Kashmir, Pakistan and
India? This is the best time to expand the
movement of goods and have joint ventures
because the financial meltdown has made foreign
currency expensive. The two can have a barter
trade keeping in mind that India is far more
economically advanced than Pakistan which would
need some concessions.
The best proposal by Zardari is to do away with
the passport. One card should open all entry
doors in Pakistan and India. Easy travel
facilities and the absence of police reporting
would go a long way to bring the peoples of the
two countries together. Yet the four-decade-old
mistake of not allowing even newspapers and
books of one country in another persists.
Mindset bureaucrats continue to have their say.
Why doesn’t India remove the ban unilaterally?
This will put moral pressure on Pakistan.
Talking about Zardari’s proposal of doing away
with the passport, even Qaide-e-Azam Mohammad
Ali Jinnah had in his mind some arrangement for
easy access to each other’s country. When Prime
Minister Jawaharlal Nehru sought to find out
through Indian High Commissioner Sitaram what
Jinnah would like to do with his house at
Bombay, the latter reportedly said that he would
want to retain it because he would be spending
some days in a year at Bombay.
All said and done, Zardari has set the ball
rolling. The Congress-led government still has
six months to go and it can pursue his
suggestions. The two countries have wasted 61
years in mutual recriminations and in pursuing
hostile policies. The two must work in tandem to
oust poverty as well as terrorism from the
region. Zardari has given India an opening.